POLL: Campaign 2012—Who Will Win?

We’re a year out from the 2012 election. Can President Barack Obama win a second term? How will Senator Scott Brown fare? Take our poll and let us know.

Tuesday, Nov. 8 is Election Day, and it will be a fairly quiet one with only town or citywide positions on the ballot for those communities heading to the polls.

But at this time next year, Americans will be casting their vote in the 2012 presidential election. In Massachusetts, Senator Scott Brown will also be making his bid for reelection. There will also be assorted races for congressional representation and races for state representative and state senator.

Polls show that a majority of Americans disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance and that they feel the country is on the wrong track.

In a race against a generic Republican, the President trails, according to a Real Clear Politics average of the latest polls. But, when matched up against individual Republicans, President Obama either has a slight lead (Mitt Romney) or holds a sizeable advantage (Herman Cain and Rick Perry).

A Real Clear Politics average of the latest polls shows businessman Herman Cain with a slight lead over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in the fight for the Republican Party nomination.

What do polls a year out from an election mean? Take them with a grain of salt.

A year out from the 2008 Presidential Election, eventual Republican Party nominee John McCain was running a distant second to former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and only a few tenths of a percentage point ahead of third-place Fred Thompson. In the Democratic primary race, former Senator and First Lady Hillary Clinton had a 27-point lead over Obama.

A lot can (and does) change.

Still, we want to know what where Massachusetts voters stand a year out from the 2012 election. What are your thoughts on President Obama’s job performance? How does he matchup against some of the top Republican contenders? Will Scott Brown be reelected?

Take our poll below and share your thoughts in the comments section.

DJ November 09, 2011 at 02:49 PM
I think the results of this pole does say it all: that the majority of Americans have gotten fat and greedy and want everything now. Just look at posts related to shopping. Our economy is in trouble because we sold out our country and lost our manufacturing base, a first ever. Everyone wants what everyone else has now so they by Walmart and Xmass tree shop and everything cheap China and they wonder later why no one has jobs? And worse, blames it on current administrations? Personally I wasn't an Obama fan from the start, and no better this time, but if your going to credit the prior administration for intelligence gathered 2+ years prior to the Bin Ladin capture, it's far more reasonable and accurate to credit them for the economy as well. I won't vote for Romney and anyone who is honest will admit he left for higher office when he did because he felt the door being closed on him here. He can communicate as well as Gingrich, but smooth talkers with little to show for it is why we have Obama so I see little difference on that level. At this point I'm looking to learn more about Paul because I am frankly displeased with both sides and he seems the closest thing to a third view. Can someone explain to me why we are so reluctant to bring in a third party to at least make these other two do their jobs?
Matt November 09, 2011 at 03:15 PM
Obama has been a complete utter failure. have no idea how you can debate that - even the true liberals know this. had zero experience, never had a job, he grew up with entitlements and wants to govern with entitlements.the problem these days we are force to vote AGAISNT someone rather than for someone.I will be voting AGAINST Obama
Liz November 09, 2011 at 04:15 PM
So many comments so little time. If Bush knew where Bin Laden was - I am quite sure he would have found taken him out and taken full credit as if done with his own hands. President Obama, who managed a mission stoically, majestically and with great pride in our armed forces, took out the man responsible for the death of so many Americans. Give this man credit for something. He unfortunately inherited a country that was headed in the wrong direction - for whatever reason. Greed - corruption - deception. We can only listen to the media and try to make sense of it all. I see a man running a country that he loves with a Congress folding their hands trying to run out the clock until they can take over. Really? We the people need to work together to get it back on the right path with the person who is best suited for the job. I have no idea who that person is yet.
Trot Nixon November 09, 2011 at 05:00 PM
First off, I completely agree we should have a credible third party candidate. However, the campaign finance laws are corrupting elected officials. Congress is comprised of wealthy citizens who are out of touch with reality. Deregulation, the blank checks for the Iraq and Afghanistan war and medicare are whats taxing this countries funds. There is no way for us to continue this path unless we fix the tax code, make businesses acutally pay there fair share along with the wealthy in this country and scale back defense spending. Stop going after programs that actually help people.
DJ November 09, 2011 at 05:01 PM
Completely agree


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