POLL: Campaign 2012—Who Will Win?
We’re a year out from the 2012 election. Can President Barack Obama win a second term? How will Senator Scott Brown fare? Take our poll and let us know.
Tuesday, Nov. 8 is Election Day, and it will be a fairly quiet one with only town or citywide positions on the ballot for those communities heading to the polls.
But at this time next year, Americans will be casting their vote in the 2012 presidential election. In Massachusetts, Senator Scott Brown will also be making his bid for reelection. There will also be assorted races for congressional representation and races for state representative and state senator.
In a race against a generic Republican, the President trails, according to a Real Clear Politics average of the latest polls. But, when matched up against individual Republicans, President Obama either has a slight lead (Mitt Romney) or holds a sizeable advantage (Herman Cain and Rick Perry).
A Real Clear Politics average of the latest polls shows businessman Herman Cain with a slight lead over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in the fight for the Republican Party nomination.
What do polls a year out from an election mean? Take them with a grain of salt.
A year out from the 2008 Presidential Election, eventual Republican Party nominee John McCain was running a distant second to former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and only a few tenths of a percentage point ahead of third-place Fred Thompson. In the Democratic primary race, former Senator and First Lady Hillary Clinton had a 27-point lead over Obama.
A lot can (and does) change.
Still, we want to know what where Massachusetts voters stand a year out from the 2012 election. What are your thoughts on President Obama’s job performance? How does he matchup against some of the top Republican contenders? Will Scott Brown be reelected?
Take our poll below and share your thoughts in the comments section.